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In recent weeks, Trailwatch has repeatedly discussed Hillary Clinton's poor prospects for catching Barack Obama in the delegate race for the Democratic nomination. It is starting to look like Obama can now win enough delegates, 2,024, to secure the nomination before the Democrats meet in late August. [...]
[discussion of current polls and likely numbers of pledged delegates]
These calculations still leave Barack Obama more than 100 delegates short of the total needed for the nomination. So let's go to the superdelegates.
At present, 315 superdelegates are still up for grabs. Using our Delegate Calculator, it becomes clear that Obama would need to win just 33%, or 104, of the remaining 315 superdelegates to get over the top.




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